references.bib

@book{dodig-crnkovic2013a,
  title = {Computing nature: {{Turing}} centenary perspective},
  shorttitle = {Computing nature},
  editor = {Dodig-Crnkovic, Gordana and Giovagnoli, Raffaela},
  editora = {Magnani, Lorenzo},
  editoratype = {redactor},
  date = {2013},
  series = {Studies in {{Applied Philosophy}}, {{Epistemology}} and {{Rational Ethics}}},
  volume = {7},
  publisher = {Springer},
  location = {Berlim, Alemanha},
  doi = {10.1007/978-3-642-37225-4},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-642-37225-4},
  urldate = {2024-08-05},
  abstract = {This book is about nature considered as the totality of physical existence, the universe, and our present day attempts to understand it. If we see the universe as a network of networks of computational processes at many different levels of organization, what can we learn about physics, biology, cognition, social systems, and ecology expressed through interacting networks of elementary particles, atoms, molecules, cells, (and especially neurons when it comes to understanding of cognition and intelligence), organs, organisms and their ecologies? Regarding our computational models of natural phenomena Feynman famously wondered: “Why should it take an infinite amount of logic to figure out what one tiny piece of space/time is going to do?” Phenomena themselves occur so quickly and automatically in nature. Can we learn how to harness nature’s computational power as we harness its energy and materials? This volume includes a selection of contributions from the Symposium on Natural Computing/Unconventional Computing and Its Philosophical Significance, organized during the AISB/IACAP World Congress 2012, held in Birmingham, UK, on July 2-6, on the occasion of the centenary of Alan Turing’s birth. In this book, leading researchers investigated questions of computing nature by exploring various facets of computation as we find it in nature: relationships between different levels of computation, cognition with learning and intelligence, mathematical background, relationships to classical Turing computation and Turing’s ideas about computing nature - unorganized machines and morphogenesis. It addresses questions of information, representation and computation, interaction as communication, concurrency and agent models; in short this book presents natural computing and unconventional computing as extension of the idea of computation as symbolmanipulation.},
  isbn = {978-3-642-37225-4},
  langid = {english},
  pagetotal = {269},
  keywords = {agent-based modeling,complexity science,ecology,generative science,natureza,philosophy,philosophy of science,science},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Dodig-Crnkovic - 2013 - Computing nature.pdf}
}

@article{fick2017,
  title = {{{WorldClim}} 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas},
  shorttitle = {{{WorldClim}} 2},
  author = {Fick, Stephen E. and Hijmans, Robert J.},
  date = {2017},
  journaltitle = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {37},
  number = {12},
  pages = {4302--4315},
  issn = {1097-0088},
  doi = {10.1002/joc.5086},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/joc.5086},
  urldate = {2024-06-11},
  abstract = {We created a new dataset of spatially interpolated monthly climate data for global land areas at a very high spatial resolution (approximately 1 km2). We included monthly temperature (minimum, maximum and average), precipitation, solar radiation, vapour pressure and wind speed, aggregated across a target temporal range of 1970–2000, using data from between 9000 and 60 000 weather stations. Weather station data were interpolated using thin-plate splines with covariates including elevation, distance to the coast and three satellite-derived covariates: maximum and minimum land surface temperature as well as cloud cover, obtained with the MODIS satellite platform. Interpolation was done for 23 regions of varying size depending on station density. Satellite data improved prediction accuracy for temperature variables 5–15\% (0.07–0.17 °C), particularly for areas with a low station density, although prediction error remained high in such regions for all climate variables. Contributions of satellite covariates were mostly negligible for the other variables, although their importance varied by region. In contrast to the common approach to use a single model formulation for the entire world, we constructed the final product by selecting the best performing model for each region and variable. Global cross-validation correlations were ≥ 0.99 for temperature and humidity, 0.86 for precipitation and 0.76 for wind speed. The fact that most of our climate surface estimates were only marginally improved by use of satellite covariates highlights the importance having a dense, high-quality network of climate station data.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {climate,climate modeling,data interpolation,databases,environmental sciences,exact sciences,geography,meteorology,modeling,open data,open science,probability and statistics,worldclim},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Fick - 2017 - WorldClim 2.pdf}
}

@article{harris2020,
  title = {Version 4 of the {{CRU TS}} monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate dataset},
  author = {Harris, Ian and Osborn, Timothy J. and Jones, Phil and Lister, David},
  date = {2020-04-03},
  journaltitle = {Scientific Data},
  shortjournal = {Sci Data},
  volume = {7},
  number = {1},
  pages = {109},
  publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
  issn = {2052-4463},
  doi = {10.1038/s41597-020-0453-3},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-020-0453-3},
  urldate = {2024-08-01},
  abstract = {CRU TS (Climatic Research Unit gridded Time Series) is a widely used climate dataset on a 0.5° latitude by 0.5° longitude grid over all land domains of the world except Antarctica. It is derived by the interpolation of monthly climate anomalies from extensive networks of weather station observations. Here we describe the construction of a major new version, CRU TS v4. It is updated to span 1901–2018 by the inclusion of additional station observations, and it will be updated annually. The interpolation process has been changed to use angular-distance weighting (ADW), and the production of secondary variables has been revised to better suit this approach. This implementation of ADW provides improved traceability between each gridded value and the input observations, and allows more informative diagnostics that dataset users can utilise to assess how dataset quality might vary geographically.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {atmospheric dynamics,climate,climate modeling,computer simulations,data interpolation,databases,environmental sciences,exact sciences,geography,meteorology,modeling,open data,open science,probability and statistics,worldclim},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Harris - 2020 - Version 4 of the CRU TS monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate.pdf}
}

@book{heywood1999,
  title = {Use and potential of wild plants in farm households},
  author = {Heywood, Vernon Hilton},
  date = {1999},
  series = {{{FAO Farm Systems Management Series}}},
  volume = {15},
  eprint = {eEPhCnJataMC},
  eprinttype = {googlebooks},
  publisher = {Food \& Agriculture Organization of The United Nations},
  location = {Rome, Italy},
  url = {https://www.fao.org/4/w8801e/w8801e00.htm},
  abstract = {This book is designed to raise awareness of the use of wild plants in farming systems around the world. It describes the contribution of wild plants as a source of food, fuel wood, shelter, medicines and dyes, and their role in income generation for the improved welfare of farm households and local people. Wild plants are also of paramount importance as sources of wild germplasm that might enhance the productivity, disease resistance, winter hardiness, drought survival of cultured species. This publication analyses the potential of wild species, as well as the natural, social, economic, legal and institutional factors that constrain their use and development potential.},
  isbn = {978-92-5-104151-2},
  langid = {english},
  pagetotal = {128},
  keywords = {biological sciences,botany,ethnobotany,health sciences,horticulture,interdisciplinary fields,nutrition,wild edible plants,wild food plants}
}

@report{ibge2022c,
  title = {Censo agropecuário: características gerais das produções agropecuária e extrativista, segundo a cor ou raça do produtor e recortes territoriais específicos},
  shorttitle = {Censo agropecuário},
  author = {{Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística}},
  date = {2022},
  number = {3101},
  pages = {172},
  institution = {IBGE},
  location = {Rio de Janeiro, RJ},
  issn = {01036157},
  url = {https://biblioteca.ibge.gov.br/index.php/biblioteca-catalogo?view=detalhes&id=73101},
  urldate = {2024-10-21},
  langid = {brazilian},
  keywords = {agricultural census,brazil,census,exact sciences,geography,ibge,open data,probability and statistics},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística - 2022 - Censo agropecuário características gerais das produções agropecuária e extrativista, segundo a cor.pdf}
}

@book{ipcc2021,
  title = {Climate change 2021: the physical science basis. {{Contribution}} of working group {{I}} to the sixth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change},
  shorttitle = {Climate change 2021},
  author = {{Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change}},
  editor = {Masson-Delmotte, Valérie and Zhai, Panmao and Pirani, Anna and Connors, Sarah L. and Péan, Clotilde and Berger, Sophie and Caud, Nada and Chen, Yang and Goldfarb, Leah and Gomis, Melissa I. and Huang, Mengtian and Leitzell, Katherine and Lonnoy, Elisabeth and Matthews, J. B. Robin and Maycock, Thomas K. and Waterfield, Tim and Yelekçi, Özge and Yu, Rong},
  date = {2021},
  publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
  location = {Cambridge, UK},
  doi = {10.1017/9781009157896},
  abstract = {The Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report addresses the most up-to-date physical understanding of the climate system and climate change, bringing together the latest advances in climate science, and combining multiple lines of evidence from paleoclimate, observations, process understanding, and global and regional climate simulations.},
  langid = {english},
  pagetotal = {2391},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - 2021 - Climate change 2021 the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the sixth assess.pdf}
}

@incollection{ipcc2023a,
  title = {Summary for policymakers},
  booktitle = {Climate change 2023: synthesis report. {{Contribution}} of working groups {{I}}, {{II}} and {{III}} to the sixth assessment report of the {{Intergovernmental Panel}} on {{Climate Change}}},
  author = {{Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change}},
  editor = {Lee, Hoesung and Romero, José},
  namea = {Calvin, Katherine and Dasgupta, Dipak and Krinner, Gerhard and Mukherji, Aditi and Thorne, Peter W. and Trisos, Christopher and Aldunce, Paulina and Barrett, Ko and Blanco, Gabriel and Cheung, William W.L. and Connors, Sarah and Denton, Fatima and Diongue-Niang, Aïda and Dodman, David and Garschagen, Matthias and Geden, Oliver and Hayward, Bronwyn and Jones, Christopher and Jotzo, Frank and Krug, Thelma and Lasco, Rodel and Lee, Yune-Yi and Masson-Delmotte, Valérie and Meinshausen, Malte and Mintenbeck, Katja and Mokssit, Abdalah and Otto, Friederike E.L. and Pathak, Minal and Pirani, Anna and Poloczanska, Elvira and Pörtner, Hans-Otto and Revi, Aromar and Roberts, Debra C. and Roy, Joyashree and Ruane, Alex C. and Skea, Jim and Shukla, Priyadarshi R. and Slade, Raphael and Slangen, Aimée and Sokona, Youba and Sörensson, Anna A. and Tignor, Melinda and Van Vuuren, Detlef and Wei, Yi-Ming and Winkler, Harald and Zhai, Panmao and Zommers, Zinta and Hourcade, Jean-Charles and Johnson, Francis X. and Pachauri, Shonali and Simpson, Nicholas P. and Singh, Chandni and Thomas, Adelle and Totin, Edmond and Arias, Paola and Bustamante, Mercedes and Elgizouli, Ismail and Flato, Gregory and Howden, Mark and Méndez-Vallejo, Carlos and Pereira, Joy Jacqueline and Pichs-Madruga, Ramón and Rose, Steven K. and Saheb, Yamina and Sánchez Rodríguez, Roberto and Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana and Xiao, Cunde and Yassaa, Noureddine and Alegría, Andrés and Armour, Kyle and Bednar-Friedl, Birgit and Blok, Kornelis and Cissé, Guéladio and Dentener, Frank and Eriksen, Siri and Fischer, Erich and Garner, Gregory and Guivarch, Céline and Haasnoot, Marjolijn and Hansen, Gerrit and Hauser, Mathias and Hawkins, Ed and Hermans, Tim and Kopp, Robert and Leprince-Ringuet, Noëmie and Lewis, Jared and Ley, Debora and Ludden, Chloé and Niamir, Leila and Nicholls, Zebedee and Some, Shreya and Szopa, Sophie and Trewin, Blair and Van Der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar and Winter, Gundula and Witting, Maximilian and Birt, Arlene and Ha, Meeyoung and Romero, José and Kim, Jinmi and Haites, Erik F. and Jung, Yonghun and Stavins, Robert and Birt, Arlene and Ha, Meeyoung and Orendain, Dan Jezreel A. and Ignon, Lance and Park, Semin and Park, Youngin and Reisinger, Andy and Cammaramo, Diego and Fischlin, Andreas and Fuglestvedt, Jan S. and Hansen, Gerrit and Ludden, Chloé and Masson-Delmotte, Valérie and Matthews, J.B. Robin and Mintenbeck, Katja and Pirani, Anna and Poloczanska, Elvira and Leprince-Ringuet, Noëmie and Péan, Clotilde},
  nameatype = {collaborator},
  date = {2023-07-25},
  pages = {1--34},
  publisher = {Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)},
  location = {Geneva, Switzerland},
  doi = {10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647.001},
  url = {https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/},
  urldate = {2024-09-23},
  isbn = {978-92-9169-164-7},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {climate change,environmental footprint,environmental impacts,environmental sciences,ipcc,projections,public policies,world statistics},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - 2023 - Summary for policymakers.pdf}
}

@article{jacob2020,
  title = {Biodiverse food plants in the semiarid region of {{Brazil}} have unknown potential: a systematic review},
  shorttitle = {Biodiverse food plants in the semiarid region of {{Brazil}} have unknown potential},
  author = {Jacob, Michelle Cristine Medeiros and family=Medeiros, given=Maria Fernanda Araújo, prefix=de, useprefix=false and Albuquerque, Ulysses Paulino},
  date = {2020-05-07},
  journaltitle = {PLOS ONE},
  shortjournal = {PLOS ONE},
  volume = {15},
  number = {5},
  pages = {e0230936},
  publisher = {Public Library of Science},
  issn = {1932-6203},
  doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0230936},
  url = {https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0230936},
  urldate = {2024-10-21},
  abstract = {Food biodiversity presents one of the most significant opportunities to enhance food and nutrition security today. The lack of data on many plants, however, limits our understanding of their potential and the possibility of building a research agenda focused on them. Our objective with this systematic review was to identify biodiverse food plants occurring in the Caatinga biome, Brazil, strategic for the promotion of food and nutrition security. We selected studies from the following databases: Web of Science, Medline/PubMed (via the National Library of Medicine), Scopus and Embrapa Agricultural Research Databases (BDPA). Eligible were original articles, published since 2008, studying food plants occurring in the Caatinga. We assessed the methodological quality of the studies we selected. We reviewed a total of fifteen studies in which 65 plants that met our inclusion criteria were mentioned. Of this amount, 17 species, including varieties, subspecies, and different parts of plants, had data on chemical composition, in addition to being mentioned as food consumed by rural communities in observational ethnobotanical studies. From the energy and protein data associated with these plants, we produced a ranking of strategic species. The plants with values higher than the average of the set were: Dioclea grandiflora Mart. ex Benth (mucunã), Hymenaea courbaril L. (jatobá), Syagrus cearensis Noblick (coco-catolé), Libidibia ferrea (Mart. ex Tul.) L.P.Queiroz (jucá), Sideroxylon obtusifolium (Roem. \& Schult.) T.D.Penn. (quixabeira). We suggest that the scientific community concentrates research efforts on tree legumes, due to their resilience and physiological, nutritional, and culinary qualities.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {brazil,diet,ecosystems,ethnobotany,food,fruits,legumes,seeds},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Jacob et al. - 2020 - Biodiverse food plants in the semiarid region of Brazil have unknown potential- a systematic review.pdf}
}

@article{ladyman2013,
  title = {What is a complex system?},
  author = {Ladyman, James and Lambert, James and Wiesner, Karoline},
  date = {2013-01-01},
  journaltitle = {European Journal for Philosophy of Science},
  shortjournal = {Euro Jnl Phil Sci},
  volume = {3},
  number = {1},
  pages = {33--67},
  issn = {1879-4920},
  doi = {10.1007/s13194-012-0056-8},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-012-0056-8},
  urldate = {2024-09-15},
  abstract = {Complex systems research is becoming ever more important in both the natural and social sciences. It is commonly implied that there is such a thing as a complex system, different examples of which are studied across many disciplines. However, there is no concise definition of a complex system, let alone a definition on which all scientists agree. We review various attempts to characterize a complex system, and consider a core set of features that are widely associated with complex systems in the literature and by those in the field. We argue that some of these features are neither necessary nor sufficient for complexity, and that some of them are too vague or confused to be of any analytical use. In order to bring mathematical rigour to the issue we then review some standard measures of complexity from the scientific literature, and offer a taxonomy for them, before arguing that the one that best captures the qualitative notion of the order produced by complex systems is that of the Statistical Complexity. Finally, we offer our own list of necessary conditions as a characterization of complexity. These conditions are qualitative and may not be jointly sufficient for complexity. We close with some suggestions for future work.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {complexity science,fundamentals of complexity science,information theory,interdisciplinary fields,statistical complexity},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Ladyman et al. - 2013 - What is a complex system.pdf}
}

@misc{meadows1999,
  title = {Leverage points: places to intervene in a system},
  shorttitle = {Leverage points},
  author = {Meadows, Donella},
  date = {1999},
  url = {https://donellameadows.org/archives/leverage-points-places-to-intervene-in-a-system/},
  urldate = {2024-09-23},
  langid = {english},
  organization = {The Sustainability Institute},
  keywords = {complex systems theory,complexity science,interdisciplinary fields,leverage points,system dynamics},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Meadows - 1999 - Leverage points places to intervene in a system.pdf}
}

@book{meadows2008,
  title = {Thinking in systems: a primer},
  shorttitle = {Thinking in systems},
  author = {Meadows, Donella H.},
  editor = {Wright, Diana},
  date = {2008},
  publisher = {Chelsea Green Publishing},
  location = {Hartford, VT},
  abstract = {The classic book on systems thinking—with more than half a million copies sold worldwide!"This is a fabulous book… This book opened my mind and reshaped the way I think about investing."—Forbes~"Thinking in Systems is required reading for anyone hoping to run a successful company, community, or country. Learning how to think in systems is now part of change-agent literacy. And this is the best book of its kind."—Hunter Lovins~In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth—the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet—Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001.Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life.Some of the biggest problems facing the world—war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation—are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking.While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner.In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions.},
  isbn = {978-1-60358-148-6},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {complexity science,critical thinking,decision making,fundamentals of complexity science,simulation methods,sustainable development,system analysis},
  file = {G\:\\Meu Drive\\Zotero\\files\\Meadows - 2008 - Thinking in systems a primer.epub;G\:\\Meu Drive\\Zotero\\files\\Thinking in Systems_ A Primer - Donella H. Meadows.pdf}
}

@article{medeiros2021,
  title = {Local knowledge as a tool for prospecting wild food plants: experiences in northeastern {{Brazil}}},
  shorttitle = {Local knowledge as a tool for prospecting wild food plants},
  author = {family=Medeiros, given=Patrícia Muniz, prefix=de, useprefix=false and family=Santos, given=Gabriela Maria Cota, prefix=dos, useprefix=true and Barbosa, Déborah Monteiro and Gomes, Laílson César Andrade and Santos, Élida Monique da Costa and family=Silva, given=Rafael Ricardo Vasconcelos, prefix=da, useprefix=true},
  date = {2021-01-12},
  journaltitle = {Scientific Reports},
  shortjournal = {Sci Rep},
  volume = {11},
  number = {1},
  pages = {594},
  publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
  issn = {2045-2322},
  doi = {10.1038/s41598-020-79835-5},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-79835-5},
  urldate = {2024-10-19},
  abstract = {This study aims to provide a simple framework to identify wild food plants with potential for popularization based on local knowledge and perception. To this end, we also characterized the distribution of this knowledge in the socio-ecological system. We developed the study in the rural settlement Dom Hélder Câmara in northeastern Brazil. The species with the greatest potential for popularization considering the attributes accessed from local knowledge and perception were Psidium guineense Sw., Genipa americana L., Xanthosoma sagittifolium (L.) Schott and Dioscorea trifida L.f. However, the high variation in local knowledge on wild food plants suggests that species that are not frequently cited can also be promising. The absence of age or gender-related knowledge patterns indicates that studies for prospecting wild food plants in similar socioecological contexts need to reach the population as a whole, rather than focusing on a specific group.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {biodiversity,biological sciences,brazil's northeastern,ethnobiology,health sciences,interdisciplinary fields,nutrition,plant ecology,wild edible plants,wild food plants},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\de Medeiros et al. - 2021 - Local knowledge as a tool for prospecting wild food plants experiences in northeastern Brazil.pdf}
}

@book{melo2019,
  title = {Agricultura familiar: dependente de chuva no semiárido},
  shorttitle = {Agricultura familiar},
  editor = {family=Melo, given=Roseli Freire, prefix=de, useprefix=false and Voltolini, Tadeu Vinhas},
  date = {2019},
  publisher = {Embrapa},
  location = {Brasília, DF},
  url = {https://www.embrapa.br/busca-de-publicacoes/-/publicacao/1114220/agricultura-familiar-dependente-de-chuva-no-semiarido},
  urldate = {2024-10-23},
  abstract = {A agricultura familiar tem grande importância para o Brasil: está presente em mais de 2 milhões de estabelecimentos agropecuários, ocupa uma área de aproximadamente 28 milhões de hectares e envolve 8,6 milhões de pessoas, das quais 38\% residem no Semiárido. Essas famílias, que têm a agropecuária como sua principal atividade, enfrentam o desafio de ter uma produção sustentável em áreas dependentes de chuva devido à limitada oferta de água no Semiárido. Objetivou-se, com esta publicação, apresentar resultados de pesquisas científicas, revisões de literatura e experiências acumuladas pelos autores com vistas a divulgar não apenas conhecimentos e informações sobre a agricultura familiar dependente de chuva na região semiárida brasileira, mas também suas potencialidades e alternativas para reduzir as fragilidades nos diferentes sistemas produtivos.},
  isbn = {978-85-7035-928-5},
  langid = {brazilian},
  pagetotal = {467},
  keywords = {agricultural implement,biodiversity,caatinga,climate change,environmental sciences,family farming,semiarid,soil and water management,sustainable development},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Melo and Voltolini - 2019 - Agricultura familiar dependente de chuva no semiárido.pdf}
}

@article{morice2021,
  title = {An updated assessment of near-surface temperature change from 1850: the {{HadCRUT5}} data set},
  shorttitle = {An updated assessment of near-surface temperature change from 1850},
  author = {Morice, C. P. and Kennedy, J. J. and Rayner, N. A. and Winn, J. P. and Hogan, E. and Killick, R. E. and Dunn, R. J. H. and Osborn, T. J. and Jones, P. D. and Simpson, I. R.},
  date = {2021},
  journaltitle = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
  volume = {126},
  number = {3},
  pages = {e2019JD032361},
  issn = {2169-8996},
  doi = {10.1029/2019JD032361},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019JD032361},
  urldate = {2024-10-22},
  abstract = {We present a new version of the Met Office Hadley Centre/Climatic Research Unit global surface temperature data set, HadCRUT5. HadCRUT5 presents monthly average near-surface temperature anomalies, relative to the 1961–1990 period, on a regular 5° latitude by 5° longitude grid from 1850 to 2018. HadCRUT5 is a combination of sea-surface temperature (SST) measurements over the ocean from ships and buoys and near-surface air temperature measurements from weather stations over the land surface. These data have been sourced from updated compilations and the adjustments applied to mitigate the impact of changes in SST measurement methods have been revised. Two variants of HadCRUT5 have been produced for use in different applications. The first represents temperature anomaly data on a grid for locations where measurement data are available. The second, more spatially complete, variant uses a Gaussian process based statistical method to make better use of the available observations, extending temperature anomaly estimates into regions for which the underlying measurements are informative. Each is provided as a 200-member ensemble accompanied by additional uncertainty information. The combination of revised input data sets and statistical analysis results in greater warming of the global average over the course of the whole record. In recent years, increased warming results from an improved representation of Arctic warming and a better understanding of evolving biases in SST measurements from ships. These updates result in greater consistency with other independent global surface temperature data sets, despite their different approaches to data set construction, and further increase confidence in our understanding of changes seen.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {climate change,datasets,environmental sciences,open data,temperature},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Morice et al. - 2021 - An updated assessment of near-surface temperature change from 1850 the HadCRUT5 data set.pdf}
}

@article{nazarenko2022,
  title = {Future climate change under {{SSP}} emission scenarios with {{GISS-E2}}.1},
  author = {Nazarenko, Larissa S. and Tausnev, Nick and Russell, Gary L. and Rind, David and Miller, Ron L. and Schmidt, Gavin A. and Bauer, Susanne E. and Kelley, Maxwell and Ruedy, Reto and Ackerman, Andrew S. and Aleinov, Igor and Bauer, Michael and Bleck, Rainer and Canuto, Vittorio and Cesana, Grégory and Cheng, Ye and Clune, Thomas L. and Cook, Ben I. and Cruz, Carlos A. and Del Genio, Anthony D. and Elsaesser, Gregory S. and Faluvegi, Greg and Kiang, Nancy Y. and Kim, Daehyun and Lacis, Andrew A. and Leboissetier, Anthony and LeGrande, Allegra N. and Lo, Ken K. and Marshall, John and Matthews, Elaine E. and McDermid, Sonali and Mezuman, Keren and Murray, Lee T. and Oinas, Valdar and Orbe, Clara and García-Pando, Carlos Pérez and Perlwitz, Jan P. and Puma, Michael J. and Romanou, Anastasia and Shindell, Drew T. and Sun, Shan and Tsigaridis, Kostas and Tselioudis, George and Weng, Ensheng and Wu, Jingbo and Yao, Mao-Sung},
  date = {2022},
  journaltitle = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {14},
  number = {7},
  pages = {e2021MS002871},
  issn = {1942-2466},
  doi = {10.1029/2021MS002871},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2021MS002871},
  urldate = {2024-10-22},
  abstract = {This paper presents the response to anthropogenic forcing in the GISS-E2.1 climate models for the 21st century Shared Socioeconomic Pathways emission scenarios within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The experiments were performed using an updated and improved version of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) coupled general circulation model that includes two different versions for atmospheric composition: A non-interactive version (NINT) with prescribed composition and a tuned aerosol indirect effect and the One-Moment Aerosol model (OMA) version with fully interactive aerosols which includes a parameterized first indirect aerosol effect on clouds. The effective climate sensitivities are 3.0°C and 2.9°C for the NINT and OMA models, respectively. Each atmospheric version is coupled to two different ocean general circulation models: The GISS ocean model (E2.1-G) and HYCOM (E2.1-H). We describe the global mean responses for all future scenarios and spatial patterns of change for surface air temperature and precipitation for four of the marker scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP4-6.0, and SSP5-8.5. By 2100, global mean warming ranges from 1.5°C to 5.2°C relative to 1,850–1,880 mean temperature. Two high-mitigation scenarios SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6 limit the surface warming to below 2°C by the end of the 21st century, except for the NINT E2.1-H model that simulates 2.2°C of surface warming. For the high emission scenario SSP5-8.5, the range is 4.6–5.2°C at 2100. Due to about 15\% larger effective climate sensitivity and stronger transient climate response in both NINT and OMA CMIP6 models compared to CMIP5 versions, there is a stronger warming by 2100 in the SSP emission scenarios than in the comparable Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios in CMIP5. Changes in sea ice area are highly correlated to global mean surface air temperature anomalies and show steep declines in both hemispheres, with the largest sea ice area decreases occurring during September in the Northern Hemisphere in both E2.1-G (−1.21 × 106 km2/°C) and E2.1-H models (−0.94 × 106 km2/°C). Both coupled models project decreases in the Atlantic overturning stream function by 2100. The largest decrease of 56\%–65\% in the 21st century overturning stream function is produced in the warmest scenario SSP5-8.5 in the E2.1-G model, comparable to the reduction in the corresponding CMIP5 GISS-E2 RCP8.5 simulation. Both low-end scenarios SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6 also simulate substantial reductions of the overturning (9\%–37\%) with slow recovery of about 10\% by the end of the 21st century (relative to the maximum decrease at the middle of the 21st century).},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {climate change,climate models,climate sensitivities,environmental sciences,future scenarios,global warming,modeling,regional warming,shared socioeconomic pathways,transient climate response},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Nazarenko et al. - 2022 - Future climate change under SSP emission scenarios with GISS-E2.1.pdf}
}

@article{poggio2021,
  title = {{{SoilGrids}} 2.0: producing soil information for the globe with quantified spatial uncertainty},
  shorttitle = {{{SoilGrids}} 2.0},
  author = {Poggio, Laura and family=Sousa, given=Luis M., prefix=de, useprefix=true and Batjes, Niels H. and Heuvelink, Gerard B. M. and Kempen, Bas and Ribeiro, Eloi and Rossiter, David},
  date = {2021-06-14},
  journaltitle = {SOIL},
  volume = {7},
  number = {1},
  pages = {217--240},
  publisher = {Copernicus GmbH},
  issn = {2199-3971},
  doi = {10.5194/soil-7-217-2021},
  url = {https://soil.copernicus.org/articles/7/217/2021/},
  urldate = {2024-10-23},
  abstract = {SoilGrids produces maps of soil properties for the entire globe at medium spatial resolution (250 m cell size) using state-of-the-art machine learning methods to generate the necessary models. It takes as inputs soil observations from about 240 000 locations worldwide and over 400 global environmental covariates describing vegetation, terrain morphology, climate, geology and hydrology. The aim of this work was the production of global maps of soil properties, with cross-validation, hyper-parameter selection and quantification of spatially explicit uncertainty, as implemented in the SoilGrids version 2.0 product incorporating state-of-the-art practices and adapting them for global digital soil mapping with legacy data. The paper presents the evaluation of the global predictions produced for soil organic carbon content, total nitrogen, coarse fragments, pH (water), cation exchange capacity, bulk density and texture fractions at six standard depths (up to 200 cm). The quantitative evaluation showed metrics in line with previous global, continental and large-region studies. The qualitative evaluation showed that coarse-scale patterns are well reproduced. The spatial uncertainty at global scale highlighted the need for more soil observations, especially in high-latitude regions.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {environmental sciences,exact sciences,forecasting,machine learning,open data,open science,probability and statistics,soil,soil science,soilgrid,spatial data},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Poggio et al. - 2021 - SoilGrids 2.0 producing soil information for the globe with quantified spatial uncertainty.pdf}
}

@article{reyes-garcia2015,
  title = {From famine foods to delicatessen: interpreting trends in the use of wild edible plants through cultural ecosystem services},
  shorttitle = {From famine foods to delicatessen},
  author = {Reyes-García, Victoria and Menendez-Baceta, Gorka and Aceituno-Mata, Laura and Acosta-Naranjo, Rufino and Calvet-Mir, Laura and Domínguez, Pablo and Garnatje, Teresa and Gómez-Baggethun, Erik and Molina-Bustamante, Manuel and Molina, Marta and Rodríguez-Franco, Ramón and Serrasolses, Ginesta and Vallès, Joan and Pardo-de-Santayana, Manuel},
  date = {2015-12-01},
  journaltitle = {Ecological Economics},
  shortjournal = {Ecological Economics},
  volume = {120},
  pages = {303--311},
  issn = {0921-8009},
  doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.003},
  url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800915004346},
  urldate = {2024-10-20},
  abstract = {The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment found a general decline in the consumption and gathering of wild edible plants, but some studies also observe a localized increase. Using information from interviews (n=1133) in seven sites in the Iberian Peninsula and one in the Balearic Islands, we 1) identify current trends in the consumption and gathering of wild edible plants (n=56 plant-uses) and 2) analyze how cultural ecosystem services relate to such trends. Our data show a generalized decrease in the consumption and gathering of wild edible plants, although the trend changes significantly across plant-uses. Specifically, we found that –despite the overall decreasing trend– uses of wild edible plants that simultaneously relate to foods with high cultural appreciation and the recreational function of gathering remain popular. Our results signal that cultural services and values associated to the gathering and consumption of some wild edible plants are important factors explaining divergent trends across plant species. This finding reinforces the notion that cultural ecosystem services are deeply intertwined with other categories of services which can combine in complex, non-linear ways producing a variety of interdependent benefits.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {biocultural diversity,biological sciences,ecosystem services,ethnobotany,health sciences,interdisciplinary fields,local ecological knowledge,natural resources,nutrition,spain,wild edible plants,wild food plants},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Reyes-García et al. - 2015 - From famine foods to delicatessen- interpreting trends in the use of wild edible plants through cult.pdf}
}

@article{riahi2017,
  title = {The {{Shared Socioeconomic Pathways}} and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: an overview},
  shorttitle = {The {{Shared Socioeconomic Pathways}} and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications},
  author = {Riahi, Keywan and family=Vuuren, given=Detlef P., prefix=van, useprefix=true and Kriegler, Elmar and Edmonds, Jae and O’Neill, Brian C. and Fujimori, Shinichiro and Bauer, Nico and Calvin, Katherine and Dellink, Rob and Fricko, Oliver and Lutz, Wolfgang and Popp, Alexander and Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo and Kc, Samir and Leimbach, Marian and Jiang, Leiwen and Kram, Tom and Rao, Shilpa and Emmerling, Johannes and Ebi, Kristie and Hasegawa, Tomoko and Havlik, Petr and Humpenöder, Florian and Da Silva, Lara Aleluia and Smith, Steve and Stehfest, Elke and Bosetti, Valentina and Eom, Jiyong and Gernaat, David and Masui, Toshihiko and Rogelj, Joeri and Strefler, Jessica and Drouet, Laurent and Krey, Volker and Luderer, Gunnar and Harmsen, Mathijs and Takahashi, Kiyoshi and Baumstark, Lavinia and Doelman, Jonathan C. and Kainuma, Mikiko and Klimont, Zbigniew and Marangoni, Giacomo and Lotze-Campen, Hermann and Obersteiner, Michael and Tabeau, Andrzej and Tavoni, Massimo},
  date = {2017-01-01},
  journaltitle = {Global Environmental Change},
  shortjournal = {Global Environmental Change},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {153--168},
  issn = {0959-3780},
  doi = {10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009},
  url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378016300681},
  urldate = {2024-10-20},
  abstract = {This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible major global developments that together would lead in the future to different challenges for mitigation and adaptation to climate change. The SSPs are based on five narratives describing alternative socio-economic developments, including sustainable development, regional rivalry, inequality, fossil-fueled development, and middle-of-the-road development. The long-term demographic and economic projections of the SSPs depict a wide uncertainty range consistent with the scenario literature. A multi-model approach was used for the elaboration of the energy, land-use and the emissions trajectories of SSP-based scenarios. The baseline scenarios lead to global energy consumption of 400–1200 EJ in 2100, and feature vastly different land-use dynamics, ranging from a possible reduction in cropland area up to a massive expansion by more than 700 million hectares by 2100. The associated annual CO2 emissions of the baseline scenarios range from about 25 GtCO2 to more than 120 GtCO2 per year by 2100. With respect to mitigation, we find that associated costs strongly depend on three factors: (1) the policy assumptions, (2) the socio-economic narrative, and (3) the stringency of the target. The carbon price for reaching the target of 2.6W/m2 that is consistent with a temperature change limit of 2°C, differs in our analysis thus by about a factor of three across the SSP marker scenarios. Moreover, many models could not reach this target from the SSPs with high mitigation challenges. While the SSPs were designed to represent different mitigation and adaptation challenges, the resulting narratives and quantifications span a wide range of different futures broadly representative of the current literature. This allows their subsequent use and development in new assessments and research projects. Critical next steps for the community scenario process will, among others, involve regional and sectoral extensions, further elaboration of the adaptation and impacts dimension, as well as employing the SSP scenarios with the new generation of earth system models as part of the 6th climate model intercomparison project (CMIP6).},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {adaptation,climate change,community scenarios,environmental sciences,mitigation,shared socioeconomic pathways},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Riahi et al. - 2017 - The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implicati.pdf}
}

@article{shackleton2022,
  title = {How many people globally actually use non-timber forest products?},
  author = {Shackleton, Charlie M. and family=Vos, given=Alta, prefix=de, useprefix=true},
  date = {2022-02-01},
  journaltitle = {Forest Policy and Economics},
  shortjournal = {Forest Policy and Economics},
  volume = {135},
  pages = {102659},
  issn = {1389-9341},
  doi = {10.1016/j.forpol.2021.102659},
  url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1389934121002653},
  urldate = {2024-10-20},
  abstract = {Non-timber forest products (NTFPs) are widely used wild, biological products harvested from rural and urban landscapes for household subsistence, income and culture, thereby contributing to human wellbeing. Estimates of the numbers of people making use of, or being dependent on, NTFPs vary widely, and global estimates to date have excluded urban populations and also NTFP users in the Global North. Additionally, most global or continental estimates are two or more decades old, and hence do not account for significant worldwide changes in societies, cultures, economies and landscapes since the estimates were made. Here we collate more recent empirical studies reporting the number of NTFP users at fine scales that we extrapolate up for three broad regions, viz. rural areas of the Global South, urban areas of the Global South, and the Global North, as the basis for estimating the number of NTFP users globally. We calculate the lower and upper bounds, as well a median estimate. We find the lowest and median approximations to be 3.5 billion and 5.76 billion users globally, respectively, based on conservative approaches. This is more than double and triple, respectively, the oft cited and dated figure of 1.6 billion. Moreover, we find that only half of the global NTFP users are located in rural regions of the Global South, and that the other half are in urban areas and the Global North, showing that NTFPs are of importance across socio-economic and geographic regions, not just in remote and underdeveloped villages of the Global South. With such large numbers of users around the world, it is imperative that the supply, management, conservation and safeguarding of the values of NTFPs take a more central place in sectoral and development policies.},
  keywords = {biological sciences,ethnobotany,global north,global south,interdisciplinary fields,non-wood forest products,rural,urban,wild edible plants,wild food plants}
}

@article{silva2024,
  title = {Climate change may alter the availability of wild food plants in the {{Brazilian}} semiarid},
  author = {family=Silva, given=Amanda Stefanie Sérgio, prefix=da, useprefix=false and Arnan, Xavier and family=Medeiros, given=Patrícia Muniz, prefix=de, useprefix=false},
  date = {2024-05-24},
  journaltitle = {Regional Environmental Change},
  shortjournal = {Reg Environ Change},
  volume = {24},
  number = {2},
  pages = {86},
  issn = {1436-378X},
  doi = {10.1007/s10113-024-02250-3},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-024-02250-3},
  urldate = {2024-08-16},
  abstract = {Wild food plants (WFPs) are important components of the diet and a source of income for local communities in semiarid regions, given that these populations are commonly characterized by high socioeconomic vulnerability and dependence on natural resources for subsistence. In periods of food scarcity and crop failure, WFPs emerge as strategic resources for ensuring food and nutrition security. However, these little-researched plants may also be affected by climate change. Here, our objective was to determine the spatiotemporal dynamics of WFPs in the Brazilian semiarid and evaluate their potential availability in future climate change scenarios. We constructed habitat suitability models for economically and nutritionally important WFPs used in this region and projected future scenarios (2041–2060). Furthermore, we determined the geographical distribution, species richness, and composition (on local and regional scales) of WFPs in current and future scenarios. Our results showed that WFPs exhibited varied responses to climate change. The more pessimistic the future scenario, the greater the negative effects. Most WFP species exhibited a reduction in climatically suitable areas in future scenarios, resulting in a shrinkage of geographical ranges, a reduction in species richness, and alterations in community composition. These changes could have important implications for economic development, subsistence, and food and nutrition security in the region. Our findings offer insights that can guide actions for adaptation and mitigating the effects of climate change and promoting species conservation not only in the Brazilian semiarid but also in other semiarid regions worldwide.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {beta diversity,biological sciences,brazil,climate change,environmental sciences,ethnobiology,food and nutrition security,habitat suitability,health sciences,interdisciplinary fields,nutrition,semiarid,species distribution modeling,wild edible plants,wild food plants},
  file = {G\:\\Meu Drive\\Zotero\\files\\Silva - 2024 - Climate change may alter the availability of wild food plants in the Brazilian.pdf;G\:\\Meu Drive\\Zotero\\files\\Silva et al. - 2024 - Climate change may alter the availability of wild food plants in the Brazilian semiarid.zip}
}

@article{steffen2018,
  title = {Trajectories of the earth system in the anthropocene},
  author = {Steffen, Will and Rockström, Johan and Richardson, Katherine and Lenton, Timothy M. and Folke, Carl and Liverman, Diana and Summerhayes, Colin P. and Barnosky, Anthony D. and Cornell, Sarah E. and Crucifix, Michel and Donges, Jonathan F. and Fetzer, Ingo and Lade, Steven J. and Scheffer, Marten and Winkelmann, Ricarda and Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim},
  date = {2018-08-14},
  journaltitle = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  shortjournal = {PNAS},
  volume = {115},
  number = {33},
  pages = {8252--8259},
  doi = {10.1073/pnas.1810141115},
  url = {https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1810141115},
  urldate = {2024-09-15},
  abstract = {We explore the risk that self-reinforcing feedbacks could push the Earth System toward a planetary threshold that, if crossed, could prevent stabilization of the climate at intermediate temperature rises and cause continued warming on a “Hothouse Earth” pathway even as human emissions are reduced. Crossing the threshold would lead to a much higher global average temperature than any interglacial in the past 1.2 million years and to sea levels significantly higher than at any time in the Holocene. We examine the evidence that such a threshold might exist and where it might be. If the threshold is crossed, the resulting trajectory would likely cause serious disruptions to ecosystems, society, and economies. Collective human action is required to steer the Earth System away from a potential threshold and stabilize it in a habitable interglacial-like state. Such action entails stewardship of the entire Earth System—biosphere, climate, and societies—and could include decarbonization of the global economy, enhancement of biosphere carbon sinks, behavioral changes, technological innovations, new governance arrangements, and transformed social values.},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {climate change,complexity science,environmental sciences,equilibrium states,interdisciplinary fields,stability landscape,system structure},
  file = {G:\Meu Drive\Zotero\files\Steffen et al. - 2018 - Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene.pdf}
}

@online{worldclim,
  title = {{{WorldClim}} webpage},
  author = {{WorldClim}},
  url = {https://www.worldclim.org/},
  urldate = {2024-10-23},
  langid = {english},
  keywords = {climatology,datasets,environmental sciences,exact sciences,open data,open science,probability and statistics,worldclim}
}