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32 changes: 0 additions & 32 deletions Chapter1/index.rst

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.. toctree::
:hidden:

Chapter1/index
understanding-climate-science-carbon-models/index
Chapter2/index
Chapter3/index
Chapter4/index
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Chapter-1: Understanding climate science & carbon models
==========================================================

This chapter discusses climate models, and to convey their usefulness,
we need to understand disturbances. We can recognise disturbances as
events, such as fires, flooding, insect and pest outbreaks, etc., that
cause short-term or temporary changes to the landscape. Although the
changes to the landscapes can be short-termed, disturbances can have
significant ecosystem impacts.

Carbon models evaluate how artificial or natural disturbances affect our
forests. Understanding these disturbances provides us with important
information about the future of our landscapes and the steps to take to
lessen their negative consequences.

Pools, Stocks and flows
-----------------------

Pools are reservoirs or containers that can hold, accumulate, or
discharge chemicals. Nature contains pools in the ocean, the
lithosphere, soils, atmosphere, and other places. A carbon pool, for
instance, stores and releases carbon.

Stock refers to the entire amount of a substance in a pool at any time. On
the other hand, flows are measured in units per time and alter the
stock in a pool.

The bathtub analogy is a great way to explain these concepts. A bathtub
holding the water can be considered a pool, the faucet and drain can be
understood as flows, and the total water in the bathtub as stock.

Simulation models, States and Transition
-----------------------

Simulation models help provide valuable insights into the dynamics of
these landscapes. To run a simulation model, we must define the area or
landscape we want to study at a particular time. This landscape is
divided into small pixels to be simulated.

A pixel can be classified by its state, which might change over time;
for example, simple forest vegetation can have different states like
Deciduous, Mixed, and Coniferous. Due to transitions, the forest
vegetation can change to a different state over time.

State transitions can be due to fire, harvest, and succession
disturbances. These transitions impact the stocks and flows of carbon
pools.


.. toctree::
:hidden:

section_one
section_two
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Organizations behind climate mitigation
======================================================

As the world works together to reduce the adverse effects of climate
change, some organizations are championing the cause.

What is the IPCC?
-----------------

Established in 1988, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) is an intergovernmental body of the United Nations responsible
for assessing research and preparing reports on climate change. The main
objective of the IPCC is to assess reports and information related to
understanding human-induced climate change, its effects, and, more
importantly, how to mitigate these effects.

Currently chaired by the Korean economist Hoesung Lee, the IPCC does not
conduct research or partake in monitoring climate change. This body is
largely concerned with the periodic review of resources and
methodologies. These resources and methodologies enable countries to
estimate their emissions and removals through sinks of greenhouse gases.

Scientists extremely knowledgeable in climate science review these data
reports and resources. The scientists that prepare the special reports
are divided into working groups: Working Group I, Working Group II, and
Working Group III.

- **Working Group I(WGI)**: The IPCC WGI assesses the physical science
supporting past, present, and future climate change. Working Group 1
covers topics like greenhouse gases and aerosols in the atmosphere;
temperature changes in the air, land, and ocean; the hydrological
cycle and changing precipitation (rain and snow) patterns; extreme
weather; glaciers and ice sheets; oceans and sea level;
biogeochemistry and the carbon cycle; and climate sensitivity. The
WGI assessments provide the global community with the resources to
combat climate change.
- **Working Group II (WGII)**: The IPCC WGII assesses the impact of climate
change on the environment. The WGII also assesses the human and
natural systems' capability to adapt our environment to climate
change. This assessment exposes vulnerabilities in the systems that
countries can improve.
- **Working Group III(WGIII)**: The IPCC WGII focuses on how to mitigate
climate change. It takes a solution-oriented approach but refrains
from advocating for any specific climate change mitigation approach.

What is the UNFCCC?
-------------------

Established in 1992, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change, also known as UNFCCC, constitutes the foundational climate
agreement that has provided the platform for most subsequent
international climate agreements. Signed by 154 states, the UNFCCC
created an international treaty to mitigate the effects of "dangerous
human interference with the climate system" by stabilizing the
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.

The UNFCC uses the framework agreement to develop treaties. This
framework agreement begins with the parties signed to UNFCCC
acknowledging a problem and committing to take action without taking
concrete obligations.

To help reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the UNFCCC implemented the
Kyoto Protocol, which acknowledges that global warming is occurring and
artificial. The UNFCCC implemented the Kyoto protocol to achieve the
UNFCCC's objective of reducing the effect of global warming by reducing
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.

The Kyoto Protocol applies to seven greenhouse gases. These greenhouse
gases are carbon dioxide (CO2), Methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O),
hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulfur hexafluoride
(SF6), nitrogen trifluoride (NF3).

The different parties or countries signed to UNFCCC take on varying
commitments according to the countries' capabilities. The parties to the
UNFCC are classified as follows: - Annex I: This class has 43 countries
or parties. These countries are industrialized countries and "economies
in transition". Check out this post to see the list of countries in this
annexe.

- **Annex II**: This class consists of Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development (OCED) members, minus Turkey. Annex II
also consists of the European Union (EU).
- **Least Developed Countries**: This class consists of 49 parties. It
includes countries that are developing and therefore have limited
capacity to adapt to the effects of climate change.
- **Non-Annex I**: This class consists of developing countries and
countries of low income. These developing countries could volunteer
to become parties of Annex I when they have become adequately
developed.

The UNFCC collects carbon emissions data from every country to provide
an authoritative source of global greenhouse gas emissions. These
reports underpin important international treaties like the Paris
Agreement. The Paris agreement effectively negotiates between countries
that are responsible for cutting emissions and who sequester the most
atmospheric carbon. Broadly, we have a goal for the entire world to be
carbon neutral by 2050 (this is referred to as ''net zero'' where
emissions are perfectly balanced by sequestration), hopefully keeping
global warming under a +2C increase in long-term mean temperature. If we
fail to achieve this goal, we might end up in a +4C world which is
catastrophic.

What does land sector reporting mean?
-------------------------------------

Land sector reporting can be understood as the estimation and reporting
of the anthropogenic sources and sinks of greenhouse gas (GHG) over land
units subject to activities relating to land use, land use change, and
forestry.

In line with the `UNFCC reporting
guidelines <https://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2013/cop19/eng/10a03.pdf#page=2>`__,
the greenhouse gas inventory or report should have the following
qualities:

- **Transparency**: Transparency ensures that the data sources,
assumptions, and methodologies used for an inventory is clearly
explained.
- **Consistency**: Report should be internally consistent for every single
year reported, in all its elements across sectors, categories, and
gases.
- **Comparability**: Estimates of emissions and removals from Annex I
parties should be comparable to other Annex I parties. For
comparability to happen, Annex I parties should use the methodologies
and formats described and agreed upon by the `Conference of the
Parties
(COP) <https://unfccc.int/process/bodies/supreme-bodies/conference-of-the-parties-cop>`__.
- **Completeness**: The greenhouse gas report should cover at least all the
sources and sinks, and gases.
- **Accuracy**: The report submitted must be correct, that is, neither
under nor over true emissions or removals, and those uncertainties
are reduced as far as practicable.
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Using FLINT to mitigate climate change
=============================================================

`Full Lands Integration Tool (FLINT) <https://moja.global/flint/>`__ is
a moja global software used for measuring, reporting, verifying (MRV),
or forecasting greenhouse gas emissions and removals from forestry,
agriculture, and other land uses (AFOLU). With FLINT, we can use data
from multiple sources to simulate past events and project the
progression of a landscape.